Since the last report, the Pirates have played 25 games, winning 13. Their record stands at 32-28, which would put them on pace to win 86 games. Over the last 25 games, the offense continues to get better, while the pitching and defense have gotten worse. There is no question that the biggest overall disappointment this season has been the pitching staff. Last year, this team was 5th in all of baseball in run prevention, allowing just under 4 runs per game at 3.98 runs per game. This year, the Pirates have allowed 4.5 runs per game, which puts them 14th in the league. Last year’s pitching staff had an ERA of 3.76, ranking them 7th in the league. This year, they are currently 12th at 3.91. Even though their FIP has improved, they are ranked 8th because every other team is pitching better. Last year, they were 3rd in the league in FIP. Last year, they were 4th in WHIP, and now they are 10th. Last year, they converted 58% of their save opportunities. Not that great, but a lot better than the 48% that they are currently achieving, which is better than the abysmal 38% they had during the first 35 games. They are still 28th in the league in save percentage. If this team could have pitched like they did last year, they would be in first place. It is hard to say what the problem is. Everyone seems to be healthy, but everyone has declined, with few exceptions. Braxton Ashcraft is having the best year so far. Carmen Mlodzinski showed improvement as a starter; now he is heading for the bullpen, which he is not happy about, but it looks like things have been straightened out for the time being. Bubba Chandler cannot find the plate, and the coaching staff can’t seem to identify and correct the problem. Will Jared Jones return to his old form without giving up a ton of home runs? What once looked like the real strength of this team seems to be the one thing that is going to keep this team from making the playoffs. There seems to be no concern from the Pirates; there certainly is no hint of any help on the way via trade or even call-ups. The bullpen seems completely inept now, ranking 20th in baseball but has been ranked as low as 25th. The defense has dropped from 9th to 15th, which is just below league average, but nobody thought going into this season that this was going to be a great defensive team. You could blame some of the run prevention problems on a declining defense, but it can hardly explain the entire reason that the pitching staff has taken such a step backward. We are about 40% into the season, and the Pirates’ management seems to be doing what they do best, which is nothing.
The offense, on the other hand, is soaring. They are 5th in runs scored, 3rd in on-base percentage, and 5th in OPS, all up from the 35-game mark. They are hitting home runs and slugging better than they were in the first 35 games. They have 8 players that are over the league average in OPS; last year, they had 2. This is all well and good for the moment. As we all know, hitting can be a sometime thing. Even this year, this team has been shut out 6 times. The horrible offense from last year was shut out 9 times at this point in the season. The Konnor Griffin injury, to me, is a bit worrisome. Hopefully, he will be back in the lineup when the Pirates return home. The Pirate position players, with one exception, are ranked according to WAR from 3rd to 17th. The outfield over all is ranked 10th. Last year the Pirate outfield was ranked 27th. We still have the worst DH, and our catching dropped a spot to 26th. With the bullpen ranked 20th, it is obvious where this team’s weaknesses are. It looks to me that the Pirates are just going to have to overcome these weaknesses. The Pirates’ front office is not going to make the hard decisions to DFA certain players. This team is on pace for 86 wins. I thought they would win 92 games; I based this on the pitching staff’s performance last year, with absolutely no offensive help. If the pitching does not improve soon or no new blood is infused into the bullpen, I doubt that this team will finish above .500. The only good news about that is, it will be the end of the horrific Ben Cherrington Era.
