The Pirates stand 50-47 at the All-Star break. Despite all the blown saves, all the poor decisions, and some really horrible losses, this team is still in it. Besides all of that, they have had injuries to many key players, but it still has not slowed this offense down. In fact, this offense is better than it was at the 60-game mark. The pitching has gone in the other direction so much that the Pirates could only muster an 18-19 record. The sweep of the Brewers got them to the point where they are now. Let’s take a look at how much this offense has improved and how the pitching continues to implode.
When we last took a look at the offense, they were 5th in runs per game and 5th in OPS. Now they are tied for 1st in runs scored per game with the Washington Nationals. They are only 2nd to the Dodgers in OPS. The offense is led by none other than Bryan Reynolds. He is having his best year since 2021. Of course, Esmerlyn Valdez has exploded onto the scene. In just 105 plate appearances, he has a slash line of .309/.371/.713 for an Aaron Judge-like OPS of 1.084. It is a small sample size, but he has been something to watch. This team now has 11 players that have an OPS above league average. It would seem very improbable that this team can keep this up even after the injured players return. For the time being, they just seem to feed off each other. The Pirates will have some tough decisions to make when everyone gets healthy. More on that later in the week.
Unbelievably, we now get to the part of the team that is keeping this team from being the No. 1 wild card team and challenging for the division title. The Pirates’ pitching staff continues its downward spiral. At the 60-game mark, they were 14th in baseball in run prevention. They have fallen all the way to 23rd. They were 8th in Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP); today they are 10th. Not much of a fall, but still declining. The bullpen ERA is one of the worst in baseball. This pitching staff has been so bad that it is a miracle that the Pirates are 3 games over .500. One of the big problems for this staff is finding the strike zone. Last season, they gave up the 8th fewest walks in baseball. This year, they have given up the 8th most walks. The Pirates still have an above-average starting rotation, which is ranked 10th in baseball. Last year, they were ranked 4th. You do not need stats to know that the bullpen is well below league average, and they are ranked 23rd in baseball. Even though they were ranked 5th last year, I will show that we should have seen this coming. It is going to be very difficult for the Pirates to correct this problem. Another discussion for later in the week. The Pirates continue to have defensive problems; they are ranked 25th in defensive efficiency. The good news here is that they are really not that far from becoming an average fielding team. It is something they need to improve on, but it seems doable. I am not so sure about the pitching.
The Pirate position players are ranked in the top half of the league except at first base. Spencer Horwitz’s -4 in defensive runs saved so far this year has dropped the 1st base position down to 22nd in baseball. Catching has been the biggest improvement thanks to Endy RodrÃguez and the improved bat of Henry Davis. For the first time in his career, he has a positive WAR at 0.6. His career WAR is -0.9. The catchers are ranked 8th in all of baseball. At one time, they were as low as 27th. Left field, where Bryan Reynolds has the most appearances, is the highest-ranked position at 3rd, and 2nd base, Brandon Lowe’s position, is ranked 4th. The Pirates have the 6th best outfield in all of baseball. That is quite a jump from 2025, where they were ranked 27th last year. Of course, our DH is ranked 27th, but that is still better than 29th from last year. It has been one strange season in this regard. Our strength continues to get stronger, and our weakness continues to get weaker. Hopefully, our offense can at least maintain itself for the rest of the season. Somehow, someway the pitching has got to find an answer. So far, they have not come close. They did have a good day against the Brewers on the split doubleheader games. It was probably just a fluke. Tomorrow, an in-depth look at the bullpen.
