The Pirates open a three-game series against the Marlins tonight. It is a series where nothing less than a sweep will be satisfactory. Anything less, and the Pirates’ slim playoff chances become ever more remote. I thought this would be a good time to look at one thing I was wrong about, one thing that I was right about, and the unsolved mystery of this team that essentially is keeping them from making the playoffs.
I was wrong about the Pirates signing Yohan Ramirez. When they signed him to a one-year major league contract, I could not believe it. There was nothing in his resume that would indicate that he was capable of improvement. He proved me wrong. He got off to a great start but then ran into a bit of a rough patch that I thought might get me off the hook, but he has righted the ship to have an even better July and August. He has already faced 278 batters this year, which is the most in his career. Some of his stats are worse than they have been in the past. Like all the Pirate pitchers, he has had trouble finding the plate, averaging 5.5 walks per 9 innings. His career average has been around 4 per 9 innings. His strike out rate is down from last year, when it was 12.2 to 10.4 per 9 innings. Where he has excelled is in overall run prevention. When he has pitched in 25 games or more, he has not had an ERA under 3.67. Last year, his ERA was 5.40. With his recent success, he has his ERA down to a career-best 2.80. His WHIP is a career-best 1.290. His hits allowed per 9 innings of 6 is his best since 2022. Granted, he has not been in that many high-leverage situations, but he has served this team well by eating up relief innings and keeping the Pirates in most ballgames when he is called upon. His ERA+ of 155 is the highest he has ever had, except for a 16-game sample from his first year in the majors back in 2020. If every Pirate pitcher had improved as much as Ramirez, the Pirates would be in first place.
I was right about the Marcell Ozuna signing. I did not like it because it took all of the flexibility out of the Pirate lineup. Before Ozuna was signed, you looked at the 13 position players and could see a bevy of players that would be DHing for the Pirates: Brandon Lowe, Oneil Cruz, Ryan O’Hearn, Spencer Horwitz, Bryan Reynolds, and Endy Rodriguez. It would be a way to give a player a rest but still use him. Now you could throw Nick Gonzales into the mix the way he has been fielding this year. It was a way to keep your best hitters in the lineup and really stretch the lineup out. Once Ozuna was signed, that all ended. We signed a player that could do one thing only, and that was DH. If the Pirates were going to go that route, then they should have just signed Andrew McCutchen. Ozuna got off to a horrible start, which made matters worse. Ozuna batted in 25 of the first 30 games of the season. He got hits in only 10 of those games for a very Henry Davis-like OPS of .470. In the next 32 games, he batted in 22. For that stretch, he got hits in 14 games and raised his OPS to .582. Then the Pirates only used him in 12 of the next 31 games. He got hits in 7 of those games, raising his OPS to .613. One thing is for sure: no player is going to get better if he is not given the opportunity, even a veteran. I am not saying he might have really come on and started hitting like he did his whole career, but basically, the Pirates never really gave him a chance to do so. Ozuna had 277 at-bats. Other Pirate players have had 250 DH at-bats. The Pirates are ranked 29th in baseball at the DH position. The DH problems of the Pirates are not all Ozuna. I would have felt that the Ozuna signing was bad even if it had worked out better. The way the Pirates managed Ozuna during the season made a bad situation even worse. Not a surprise there.
Of course, the unsolved mystery of the season is what in the hell is wrong with the pitching staff. This is a staff that has digressed more than anyone could have imagined. This staff was ranked the 3rd best pitching staff in all of baseball in 2025. This was a staff that pitched for the entire season under little or no run support. It was felt that if the Pirates could hit just about league average, or a little below that, they would easily make the playoffs. Despite this recent dry spell by the offense, they are still way above league average as an offense. They are 3rd in all of baseball in runs per game. The pitching staff this year is ranked 16th overall in a 30-team league. The bullpen has had many failures this year; they have blown 20 saves. League-leading Houston has only blown 7. They have more losses than saves, with only 2 other teams, the Angels and the Tigers, having done that. The one big issue seems to be control. So far this season, the Pirates have walked 437 batters; for all of 2025, they walked 473. Only one pitcher improved from 2025, and that is Braxton Ashcraft. He walked 3.1 per 9 innings last year and has dropped that to 2.2 this year. Jared Jones is exactly the same as he was in 2024, with a 2.9 rate for 9 innings. Gregory Soto is basically the same as he has been for his career, a 3.6 per 9. The rest of the staff has gotten worse, and some significantly so. None worse than Bubba Chandler. In 2025, he had the excellent rate of 1.1 walks per 9 innings; now he is at 4.8. Wow! Dennis Santana doubled the other team’s pleasure by walking 4.5 batters per 9 compared with 2.2 this year. Paul Skenes and Carmen Mlodzinski each walk a half a batter more per 9 innings than they did last year. The pitching staff has been hurt a little more from the long ball, giving up 125 so far this year, ranking them currently 9th. They gave up 153 last year to finish 3rd best in the league. The real mystery here is why? They cannot play the injury card as they can and do with the position players. This has been one of the healthiest staffs in all of baseball. It is easy to blame the new pitching coach, and I am not going to completely discount it. There has been a lot of chatter that pitching in the World Baseball Classic ruined Paul Skenes for the season. Now, granted, he was pitching real baseball in late February or early March, but he threw 8 and 1/3 innings and around 120 pitches total in the two games he pitched. If that is all it takes, then there is something wrong. Unless the Pirates come up with some new information, or if we hear a lot of negatives about the new pitching coach, which we have not, this decline in what was thought of as the best young pitching staff in baseball will most likely remain an unsolved mystery. I guess it wouldn’t hurt if one of the coaches just said, “Just throw the damn ball over the plate.” Could it be that simple? If there is a solution, the Pirates better find it fast. If they don’t, they will go through another September just being the spoiler.