The Pirates stand at 38-37. They are one game out of a wild card spot. Most of the season, they have been hovering around 2 to 4 games above .500. There are lots of good things to say about the Pirates; they are one of the better scoring clubs. They have had bullpen issues, and even their starting pitching has had some problems. We are just 6 games short of reaching the halfway point of the season. You would think the Pirates would have a handle on which players are performing well and which players are not. You would think that they would know by now the best way for certain players to help the team. They should know who the best performers on the team are. They must not be watching the same performances that I am. Let’s look at 3 players who are not being given a chance to perform or are not being used in the best way.
Jake Mangum seems to be a fan favorite. He just has that fan appeal. He hustles, he looks good in the field, and he seems to be a good hitter. When you look at the stats, he is not as good as it would seem, at least the way the Pirates use him. He should be leading off every time he is in the starting lineup. The Pirates usually bat him 7th or 8th. His slash line is .296/.330/.368. With that horrendous slugging percentage, his OPS is .694, which is below league average. He is just an average fielding outfielder. There is a statistic called total runners scored by a batter. In other words, when you come up with men on base, what percentage of those runners are you responsible for scoring? Mangum is one of the worst performers on the team. He is responsible for 10.2% of runners scoring. The only one worse on the team is Jared Triolo at 8.8%. Even Henry Davis, with his pathetic .138 batting average, is better at 11.6%. The middle of the Pirate order averages somewhere between 17% and 20%, with Bryan Reynolds being the leader at 20%. That statistic alone should make Mangum a lead-off hitter because you are going to guarantee that, at least once a game, he is going to come up with the bases empty. Leading off, he would have more opportunities to bat and steal bases, which he is quite good at, stealing 13 bases on 15 attempts for an 87% success rate. Leading off minimizes his lack of slugging. Besides Konnor Griffin, who has only led off once; Jake Mangum is the obvious choice to lead off the game. Obvious to everyone but the Pirates.
Next, we have Marcell Ozuna. I was not pleased when they signed him to do nothing but DH for 12 million bucks. He got off to a horrible start. Everyone was saying he is too old. He cannot catch up with the fastball anymore. You know the Pirates are not going to dump him with that salary. But hey, wait a minute. In the last 11 games that he has DH’d, he has not done too bad. He is hitting .268 with 1 home run and 8 RBIs. There is just one problem: it has taken 26 games for him to play in those 11 games. In that same stretch, Jared Triolo has played 22 games. Henry Davis has played in 12 games. In those games Triolo is batting .208 with 0 home runs and 4 RBIs, and Henry Davis is hitting .142 but has managed 3 home runs and 9 RBIs. The only criticism you could say about Ozuna is he has only walked once, which puts his OBP at .285. You’re paying this guy 12 million to DH. He needs to have his final run. He should DH the next 10 to 14 games, batting 6th or 7th in the lineup. If he cannot sustain what he has done the last 11 games, then he should be cut. This guy has hit his entire career and hit for power. This offense is good, but it would be better if Ozuna can find his stroke. I am not too sure the Pirates understand this. Again, are they paying attention to what really is going on during these games?
The most mysterious case of all is that of Isaac Matson. With the Pirate bullpen ranked 24th in all of baseball, the Pirates have lost faith in Matson for no apparent reason. He had a horrible opening day, much like Paul Skenes. Not quite as bad, but he walked off the mound that day with an ERA over 10. In the next 32 games, he made 16 appearances. In the first 15, he pitched 15 and 1/3 innings, giving up no runs on 9 hits. On his 17th appearance, he gave up 5 runs in 2/3 of an inning. In the next 15 games, he only appeared 4 times. Three were good outings, and one was not. The Pirates sent him down, and even when brought back up, he has not been used that much. Even with those bad outings, here is how he compares to current bullpen members and one former bullpen member when he was sent down. We are going to use ERA+ the comparison stat where league average is 100, and FIP, which is the things that pitchers can control: home runs, walks, and strikeouts. Matson, at the moment, has an ERA+ of 106 and a FIP of 3.82. Dennis Santana has an ERA+ of 96 and a FIP of 4.46. Yohan Ramirez has an ERA+ of 102 and a FIP of 4.32. Mason Montgomery has an ERA+ of104 and FIP of 3.52. Brandan Bidois has an ERA+ of 85 and a FIP of 6.95. When Matson was sent down, Justin Lawrence was still on the team with an ERA+ of 82 and a FIP of 5.37. Matson’s ERA+ is better than any of those players who are continuing to be used often. Only Mason Montgomery has a better FIP by 0.30. When Matson was sent down, the robotic Pirate broadcast booth said he was sent down to get right. If that is true, the Pirates need to send down 4 others to get right by my calculations. Instead, they continue to put those players in key situations to lose games. If I were Matson, I would ask to be traded. I’m not too sure that the Pirates are going to wake up and start to use Matson like they did in the early part of the season.
The other mysteries of the Pirates are that, for the most part, they continue to ignore reverse splits. Billy Cook has been on the Pirates for 55 games. In those 55 games, he has made 22 plate appearances. In this day and age, where teams carry only 13 position players, why is he on the team? It is like the Pirates are carrying just 12. You have heard of the designated hitter. The Pirates have the designated cheerleader. They do not have pitchers warming up in the bullpen at the start of an inning in a tight ballgame late in the game. The Pirates have one of the best percentages of successful stolen bases, but yet remain fairly conservative when attempting to steal. When you look at how the Pirates front office has performed from a strategic standpoint, you have to wonder how in the hell this team is one game over .500. This morning, I wake up to find that the Pirates traded Joey Bart to the Atlanta Braves for Hunter Stratton, who they DFA’d. He is going to AAA. If I were Isaac Matson, I would be packing my bags. Don’t worry, Brandon Bidois, with your 6.95 FIP, you are safe.
