Month: October 2023

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Three Wishes

Wish No. 1: That mankind would somehow figure it out. For whatever reason humans want to kill themselves or kill each other. They do not care about the earth being ruined. This is nothing new, but it does seem like an easy fix. Maybe that’s the problem, but if the wish came true then a lot of problems would be solved.

Wish No. 2: That I would be able to figure out the game of golf. I have been playing for over 60 years and the game remains a total mystery. This will be the subject of many future blogs but if that wish came true then I would be a contented man.

Wish No. 3: That the Pirates and the Steelers and the Ohio State Buckeyes would win one more Championship before I die. Ohio State, I wouldn’t care if it was football or basketball. I would like to experience that feeling one more time. I have been fortunate enough to experience those feelings multiple times with each team. I still want to see one more with each of them.

Well, there it is, mankind, golf and my favorite sports teams. When you are old you don’t care about money, success or fame. I could have wished for good health for all my loved ones, but this is fantasy time so why bother. The first wish hasn’t a chance in hell of happening in the next 100 years. The other two have at least a chance of happening. Ohio State has the best chance of having a championship in the next 5 to 10 years. The Pirates and Steelers chances are probably around 20% the next decade. As for me figuring out the game of golf. Not likely at all, but it won’t be for lack of trying.

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Pirates Morning Report: Series Tied Heading To Arizona

After 2 games the World Series between the Diamondbacks and the Rangers is all tied up at a game apiece. The first game was about as exciting as it gets with the Rangers walking it off in the bottom of the 11th on an Adolis Garcia home run. Game 2 was tight through the first 6 innings with the Diamondbacks clinging to a 2-1 lead. The Diamondbacks broke it open in the last 3 innings, scoring 2 in the 7th, 3 in the 8th, and 2 more in the 9th to win going away 9-1. Winning the 2nd game was almost a must for Arizona after the heartbreaking loss on Friday. Playing a solid game and carrying a 5-3 lead into the bottom of the 9th, Diamondbacks seemed poised to win the opener. With Paul Seward having been so solid in these playoffs, you had to figure that the Diamondbacks would pull it off. The dreaded walk came back to haunt Seward, as it just looked like Corey Seager guessed right smashing an up and in fastball that could have been just a hair more up and in, to tie the game. So far, the series has not disappointed with each team playing their kind of baseball. Now we head back to Arizona tonight for games 3 through 5.

The Diamondbacks did what they had to do in getting a split in the first 2 games. I think the most significant thing in game 2, was that the Diamondbacks held the Rangers to just 4 hits. This post season has been highlighted by team’s offenses just disappearing for a fatal 2 to 3 games. This could be the start of such occurrence for the Rangers. It will not be so much, if the Rangers win or lose tonight, but how they win or lose. If they score 5 or more runs, then I think they are back on track and will go on and take the series. If they are held in check again by the Diamondbacks pitching, even with a low scoring 2-1 win, then I think they might be in trouble. The Diamondbacks have been playing their game. In game one they had 4 stolen bases and one sacrifice bunt. In game 2 they had 1 stolen base and 3 sacrifice bunts They sacrifice bunt more than any team in baseball. Even though the Diamondbacks seem to be firing on all cylinders I do expect the series to make it back to Arlington. However, for that to happen, the Ranger offense must resurface sooner than later.

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Pirates Morning Report: World Series, Rangers vs. Diamondbacks

The World Series is set to begin tonight and for the second year in a row the National League is sending the 6th seeded team to the fall classic. Last year it was the Phillies and this year the Diamondbacks. Unlike last year when the American League sent the No. 1 seed, the 4th seeded Texas Rangers will represent the junior circuit. I usually write about the playoffs, but due to travel commitments I really ran into a time crunch and failed to do so. I am glad now that I did not, because I would have wasted all this finger energy typing what I thought would happen. I was so wrong. Essentially, I thought the playoffs would go pretty much according to the seeding with the Orioles playing the Astros in the ALCS and the Dodgers facing off against the Braves in the NLCS. I thought if any teams would be the fly in the ointment, it would be the Phillies in the National League and the Rays in the American League. The Phillies were the only thing I was even close to being right about. Let’s look at some of the surprises and oddities of this 2023 playoff season.

The wild card series were all 2-game sweeps. The home team was swept 3 out of the 4 series with only the Phillies winning at home. With the exception of the Brewers, the losing teams simply could not hit. In the two games, the Blue Jays scored 1 run, the Rays 1 run, and the Marlins 2 runs. With that kind of offense, you are not going to beat anybody, even the Pirates. What I found most interesting was that the losing managers did not seem to have any sense of urgency in these short series. I felt they let their starting pitchers in too long and it cost them mightily. For all of their pitching prowess, the Brewers staff got lit up for 11 runs in the 2 games. The Brewers offense could not compete with that.

In the division series, the surprises continued with Orioles and Dodgers getting swept 3-0. The Orioles, although a surprise to me, was not a surprise to a lot of people. Fan Graphs had them has the team with the least chance of getting to the World Series. They turned out to be correct, but I was still mystified because they had the best record in the American League. The Rangers had no problem blowing them out of the playoffs outscoring them 21-11 in the three games. The Eastern Division of the American League, touted all year as the toughest division in baseball did not win a playoff game, let alone a series. Even more shocking was the Diamondbacks sweep of the Dodgers. From Clayton Kershaw only getting 1 out in the first inning in Game 1, to Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman getting just one hit between them in all three games, it was a total disaster for the Dodgers. The Dodgers could only score 2 runs in each game. You may be ablet to beat the Pirates doing that, but not too many other teams. Another hitting machine the Atlanta Braves could not muster an attack against the Phillies, as they scored only a total of 3 runs in the 3 games they lost. The Minnesota Twins held their own with the Astros splitting the first two games in Houston. When they came home their offense went to sleep scoring only 1 and 2 runs losing games 3 and 4. In 8 playoff series there was not an elimination game.

That changed in each leagues Championship Series. The ALCS saw Houston for the second time in the last 5 post seasons participate in a 7-game series where the visitors won every game. The Astros were on the losing end of both series, and this was only the 1st and 2nd time in the history of baseball that the this has ever happened. Going into the 6th game of NLCS the Phillies held a 3-2 lead, heading home where they had been unbeatable. Again, the home team went into a hitting funk scoring only 1 run in game 6 and 2 runs in game 7 to be sent reeling out of the playoffs. At one point, it looked like we would have a rematch of the 2022 World Series. The Diamondbacks and Rangers changed that scenario by winning games 6 and 7 on the road to top off a very surprising post season.

We have the Diamondbacks vs Rangers in the 2023 World Series. The tale of the tape shows the Rangers leading the Diamondbacks in most offensive and defensive categories. Stolen Bases is the only area where the Diamondbacks have a decided edge. The Rangers scored more runs and prevented run scoring better than the Diamondbacks during the regular season. Alas, we are in the playoffs now and in my view the Diamondbacks are no fluke. In the playoffs, both the Rangers and Diamondbacks went through the 3 rounds with a record of 9-3. The Rangers scored 71 runs and the Diamondbacks 51 runs. The Rangers gave up 45 runs and the Diamondbacks 41 runs. The rule changes in baseball this year were meant to speed up the game and have the game return to the look and feel of the 1980’s. The Diamondbacks are the epitome of these rule changes. They steal bases, pitch well, play solid defense and do not hit a lot of home runs. The Rangers were the best hitting team in the American League. Only the Braves and Dodgers hit better than them. In the year of the playoff home runs, the Rangers led the American League in the long ball. Overall, the Rangers look very solid except in one very important area, the bullpen. With my track record, I am not even going to begin and try and make a prediction for this World Series. This will be a contrast in styles to say the least. The new rule Diamondbacks against the long ball Rangers. Being a National League guy, I will be rooting for the Diamondbacks. The way this playoff season has gone about the only thing I am sure of is that there will be plenty of surprises.

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It’s Going To Stay That Way

Daily writing prompt
What’s something most people don’t know about you?
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If there is something that most people don’t know about me, and I can guarantee there is, why would I write about on Word Press. In fact, there is a lot more than one. The reason that people don’t know about these things is because that’s the way I want it. Where do you come up with stuff?

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Lazy Days

Daily writing prompt
Do lazy days make you feel rested or unproductive?
View all responses

There is nothing good to say about lazy. Lazy is defined as disinclined to activity or exertion: not energetic or vigorous. It is referred to as encouraging inactivity or indolence. Do we all need a day off or a day of rest. I would say yes, but these days should not be looked at as being lazy. Let’s look at two groups of people. The working group and the non-working group. The working group does not get to choose their “lazy” day unless they skip work. Most people work 5 days a week. The work week could vary from about 35 hours to as many as 50 hours per week. The weekend comes and some people are more active during the weekend than they are on the job. When it comes to the job, either people love or hate what they do. Now, some people will think they are just indifferent about their job, but if you feel that way about what you do for a living, then you hate your job. Most people that love their job do not even think of it as work. They may have less need to recharge the battery. The non-working group may be retired or unemployed. The unemployed better not have a lazy day, go out and get a damn job. Now for us retired folks, we can be busy doing the many things that we did not have a chance to do when we were working. For me personally I never have a lazy day, and if I did would not feel rested. Certainly, I would be unproductive. In other words, to put aside a day to recharge and refresh yourself no matter what the reason, is not a lazy day. It takes thought and purpose to get yourself ready for whatever lies ahead. For me it may be meditating more than one time per day. Taking a long slow walk to gather my thoughts for what I want to do next. Writing some notes on what I might want to accomplish over the next month. Talking to family and friends that I have not talked to in a long time. This might sound a bit strange but in order to recharge your battery and feel rested for what lies ahead, it takes time and effort to plan how you are going to do it. There is nothing lazy about that.

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Give Away A Million Dollars

If you had a million dollars to give away, who would you give it to?

The answer for me is very simple. I would give it to my family. This leads to a totally different subject. I am sure, some people would give to a charity or a cause. In a nutshell, I think charities are just plain wrong. Why should a disease get a lot of research money just because a celebrity has a foundation to help get a cure? Why should there be charities for any cause? Why does there need to be charities to feed, clothe and house the the less fortunate. With all the wealth in the world this should be something that is done by all governments. Society has an obligation to make sure that every human being is clothed, fed, and has a roof over their head. It would be so easy to do. The same with finding cures for diseases. Every government in the world should contribute some percentage of their budget for medical research. It should be a good amount, say 20%. This should be an obligation that is shared equally by all. Having charities as the main instrument to accomplish these goals only accomplishes one thing. It makes people feel good when they give or support the charity with their time. However, it is a very ineffective way to solve these problems because the problems continue to exist. Even though these charities raise millions, in the world of trillion dollar government budgets, this is a paltry sum. We as a people need to put billions toward these problems of disease, poverty and climate change. The simple fact that there are people in the world hungry, is shameful and disgusting. It boils down to man’s inhumanity to man. No amount of charity giving is going to change that. So, yeah, for me, the answer is easy. I would give it to my family.

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Pirates Morning Report: What’s Next

The playoffs are in full swing, so we are not officially into the off season quite yet, but it is not too early to speculate and dream. The Pirates usually spend the off season signing low to mid-level free agents to fill in some gaps until prospects come up. The regular season was barely put to bed, when contending for the playoffs was bandied about. Since it is so early, let’s look at two things that are very unlikely to happen. The Pirates make no moves, or they make a big splash free agent signing. What would the 2024 Pirates look like if they went with just the players they have now.

As far as the position players are concerned, which normally number 13, there would be 7 players that would be locks to be on the team next year. Ke’Bryan Hayes, Bryan Reynolds, Jack Suwinski, Oneil Cruz, Henry Davis, Endy Rodriguez, and Jared Triolo. Triolo’s strong finish, where he showed he might have some power potential, and his solid play at first base, easily puts him on this team at the moment. Triolo ended the season with an OPS+ of 116, higher than any other Pirate regular. That leaves 6 spots for the remaining players on the 40-man roster. They are Jason Delay, Ji Hwan Bae, Vinny Capra, Nick Gonzales, Tucupita Marcano, Liover Peguero, Alphonso Rivas, Alika Williams, Miguel Andujar, Connor Joe, Josh Palacios, Canaan Smith-Njigba, and last but certainly not least Andrew McCutchen. Vinny Capra and Alika Williams can be eliminated for obvious reasons which puts us down to 11 players. If the Pirates sign McCutchen, which is not a given, he will be on the team. I always felt they should have signed McCutchen beginning in 2021. I will admit I’m not too sure if it is the best move now, even if he comes on the cheap. I know all the positives of signing him, but they are all on the subjective side. I don’t know how much that is going to win you ball games. If they do sign him to a 1-year deal, I would not be upset or critical. I could say the same thing if they do not sign him. For the sake of argument, I will assume they sign him, and he takes the 8th spot on the roster. Next, we have the trio Gonzales, Marcano, and Peguero. All can play 2nd base, Marcano is the only glove man and the other 2 have some defensive issues but supposedly are better hitters. So far, Peguero and Gonzales have not shown they are major league hitters yet. Gonzales has had a smaller sample size, but it is underwhelming so far. Marcano has shown for sure he cannot hit big league pitching. All three will not be on the roster. I do not know if even 2 should be on the roster, but I am going with Peguero and Gonzales because of more potential and the Pirates need bats. Marcano is a good glove man, but he is not elite. That leaves 3 spots. I do not see Alphonso Rivas or Connor Joe being on this team next year. They are league average hitters, but their defense leaves a lot to be desired. Connor Joe is over 30 and Rivas is going on 28 these are not players that are going to put you in the playoffs. That leaves Jason Delay, Ji Hwan Bae, Miguel Andujar, Josh Palacios, Canaan Smith-Njigba, for the final 3 spots. During the final game of the season, the Pirate broadcast booth said that the Pirates are going to let Henry Davis catch in 2024. Even if this is true, I do not think this eliminates Jason Delay from the team. This can increase the flexibility of the Pirate lineup with 3 potential catchers. I am going to put him on the team. The final two spots go to Ji Hwan Bae and Miguel Andujar. Bae because of his potential. If he can walk like he did in AAA, then he will be an asset. I do not care if he ever bunts. He has got to be able to do the process that he incorporated in AAA to get more walks. If he can’t do this then back to the minors he goes. Even though I picked Andujar, I feel it is a tossup on all 3 players. One of the biggest disappointments in 2023 was Smith-Njigba. He did get hot at the end of 2023 in AAA, but will that ever happen at the next level. He is heading into his age 25 season, so you have to figure it is now or never in 2024. Then there is the curious case of Josh Palacios. Here are the cold hard facts on Palacious. He is heading into his age 29 season. In 264 plate appearances his slash line reads, .239/.279/.413, for an OPS+ of 86. His WAR was -0.2. He is a below average fielder in every defensive metric. However, he always seemed to find himself in big situations and he came through many times to get a lot of big hits. Even though I favored Andujar I am still not sure you can put much stock in his good September. What all this is telling you is that the Pirates need an outfielder.

What better way to fill that need than to make the splash signing of Cory Bellinger. Bellinger had the very nice bounce back year with the Cubs having an OPS+ of 133, way above what any Pirate did this year. Very solid indeed, but he did not approach his MVP season. There is no question he will be a highly sought after free agent, but I do not think he will bring one of those mega deals. I think he is a 200-million-dollar man but not a 300-million-dollar man. The Pirates could certainly pull this off if they wanted to. Not a likely happening but if you’re not going to dream now, you will never have a chance.

The other interesting thing about 2024 will be what will the Pirates do with Oneil Cruz. They have a plethora of middle infielders, so would they consider making him the right fielder, much like the Padres did with Fernando Tatis. Would they move him to 1st base? No matter what, the major factor is that Cruz needs to make a full recovery from his broken leg/ankle.

On the pitching side of the ledger what would the starting rotation and the bullpen look like in 2024 if the Pirates made no moves. The rotation would set up like this. Mitch Keller, Max Kranick, Luis Ortiz, Quinn Priester, and Johann Oviedo. If Roansy Contreras can regain his old form, then he might get back into the rotation. J. T. Brubaker should be ready to pitch sometime in June. First round pick Paul Skenes seems pretty determined to make the club right from spring training. Despite his determination that would be shocking. However, it is not unfathomable that he may be pitching for the Pirates in June. The rotation does not look as bleak as you might have thought, and the bullpen is very solid. Just to list the 8 guys I would put in the bullpen, they are David Bednar, Colin Holderman, Andre Jackson, Carmen Mlodzinski, Dauri Moreta, Kyle Nicolas and rounding out with the left handers Ryan Borucki and Bailey Falter. My pick of Nicolas may surprise some but after that horrible debut he pitched 5 innings gave up 1 run, 4 hits, striking out 7 and his stuff looked awesome. Cody Bolton and Hunter Stratton are good options if any of the above falter or get injured. Will the previous mentioned Jarlin Garcia ever pitch again? Who knows? Only the Shelton knows. There are some big-time pitchers that are becoming free agents, but I do not think the Pirates will try to sign any of them. As much as I would like to see the Pirates sign Bellinger, I am not expecting that either.

Could this be the first off season where the Pirates sign a free agent that will get the fans excited. Like every off season, there will be plenty of names out there, both position players and pitchers. Would the Pirates make a trade to upgrade the team. Right now, they do have this overflow of middle infielders, especially if they decide to leave Cruz at shortstop. I do not see this happening, but it opens up all kinds of possibilities to improve the team. Looking at the team right now, I think there are three things that need to happen if the Pirates are going to jump to 85 to 92 wins which usually gets you in the playoffs. This year it took 84 in the National League and 89 in the American League. Ji Hwan Bae needs to become the AAA hitter he is, in the Major Leagues. If he could post an on base percentage of .360 or better the Pirates would have a great 1-2 punch at the top of the order with him and McCutchen, if he is signed. Oneil Cruz needs to put in a full season and have a 4 WAR year. The pitching has to make a comeback. Despite all the injuries the Pirates have an amazing number of young arms. Even more than what we named earlier. There could be a pitcher in AA and AAA that could be the big surprise in 2024. The offseason is always a fluid situation and right now we have no idea what kind of moves the Pirates will or won’t do. No matter what they do, it will still be one of the most interesting off seasons the Pirates have had in a long long time.

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Pirates Morning Report: 2023 Season Wrap Up

The Pirates won 76 games in 2023, a 14-game improvement over 2022. They wound up being tied for 21st place in a 30-team league. What is rather remarkable, is that they are about in the same place, in what I believe are the most important categories. In other words, all phases of their game need to improve equally. Looking on the offensive side, they are 22nd in runs per game with 4.27, 21st in On Base Percentage with .315, and 23rd in the comparison stat OPS+ with 92, where 100 is league average. Pitching, the Pirates are 22nd in preventing runs, giving up 4.88 per game, Fielding Independent Pitching 21st, with 4.40, and 22nd in the comparison stat, ERA+ at 97, with 100 league average. Nothing surprising here, with the both the batting and pitching being below league average. The Pirates did improve their fielding, finishing 18th in the Baseball Reference stat, Defensive Efficiency, compared to 27th last year. According to Wins Above Replacement (WAR) the Pirates worst 2 positions were catching and right field both ranking 29th. It is obvious that catching should improve overall next year. Coming in at 28th were 2nd and shortstop, somewhat surprising in my mind but those positions have a lot of elite players. Coming in at 24th were the starting pitchers and centerfield. Jack Suwinski and Ji Hwan Bae were the 2 who played that position the most. The Pirates were the 23rd best pinch-hitting club in baseball. The bullpen came in 18th in WAR. The first position to be in the upper half of the league Bryan Reynolds in left field at 14th. DH was next at 13th, where Andrew McCutchen had the most plate appearances by a wide margin over Bryan Reynolds. Thanks to Carlos Santana, who is no longer a Pirate, 1st base came in 12th. According to WAR Ke’Bryan Hayes was the big factor in putting 3rd base in the number 2 position. It certainly looks like Hayes will pick up his first Gold Glove. It is obvious where the Pirates need help, and I will get into that when we look at what the Pirates may or may not do going forward to the 2024 season.

I wrote about a week ago, that despite the Pirates winning 14 more games, the season was a disappointment. Losing Oneil Cruz for the season in mid April was a huge loss. The other injury, that was more or less swept under the rug, was the strange nerve problem of left hand reliever Jarlin Garcia, who the Pirates signed as a free agent over the previous winter. He had pitched in 285 games over the past 6 seasons with an ERA+ of 112. He would have helped the bullpen immensely, but instead never threw one pitch. I thought the Pirates would win around 80 to 85 games with the pitching being the main strength of the team. That’s where I was wrong. The pitching took a major step backward in 2023 and none more so than Roansy Contreras and Luis Ortiz. Let’s just look at the run prevention stat of ERA+, from one year to the next. Contreras’s ERA+ in 2022, 107 and in 2023, 67. He goes from being solidly above league average to way below league average with no physical problems. Luis Ortiz had an ERA+ essentially the same for both years at 92 and 93 respectively but he had one horrendous start at the end of 2022 that brought this number down. Both he and Contreras had huge drops in velocity at around 3 MPH less than they were throwing in 2023. Mitch Keller even though he did not regress never really made any big improvement. In 2022, he had an ERA+ of 104, 2023 ERA+ 105. Johan Oviedo in 2022 with both the Cardinals and the Pirates had an ERA+ of 126 in 21 games. This year, in 32 games his ERA+ was 103. Colin Holderman has digressed since coming from the Mets. They had better find a new coaching philosophy if this type of regression is going to stop. Then there is Robert Stephenson who the Pirates traded to Tampa Bay. With the Pirates, 111 batters faced, ERA+ 102. With the Rays, 140 batters faced, ERA+ 179. Are the Pirates really looking at these guys? The pitching which looked so good going into 2023 now looks like it could be a major concern.

With the stats, it is obvious where the Pirates need help. They need a right fielder. They need some stability at short and 2nd base. They now need some starting pitching because of injury and poor performances. What will the Pirates do in the coming off season? Who knows? What should they do in the coming off season? The subject of the next blog.

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Details of Your Life

What details of your life could you pay more attention to?

Another question that is difficult to totally comprehend. First the wording. I admit, I did read some of the answers, and almost everyone answered with details that they should pay attention to. The question was, could you pay attention to. This question implies that there are details in your life that you are completely ignoring, or simply don’t care. There is the issue of what exactly are the details of your life? Is your soulmate a detail of your life? Are there moments of the day when your life has no details? Are details classified? We all know the saying don’t sweat the small stuff. I am going to reword the the question. What is the most important detail of your life that you SHOULD pay more attention to? For me, as an ever growing older senior citizen the answer is very simple. When I am about to pass gas, making sure, that is all I do. It definitely makes my world a better place.

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Pirates Morning Report: The Final Game

Final Score: Pirates 3. Marlins 0

Why The Pirates Won: A dominant performance by the Pirates bullpen led the Pirates to victory in the final game of the season. They gave up only 3 hits and walked 1. The Marlins had one at bat with runners in scoring position. Jackson, Bido, Nicolas, Moreta, and Bednar, all pitched well striking out 11 Marlins. For the 4th consecutive game the Pirates scored 3 runs and this time waited until the bottom of the 8th to do it. They only had 6 hits but walked 5 times. Lots of traffic but few runs for the 4th time. Yesterday it was more than enough with such a great pitching performance. When you hold the opponent scoreless you usually win.

The Key Moment Of The Game: The breakthrough inning for the Pirates that produced the 3 runs in the bottom of the eighth. After one out, Conner Joe doubled down the left field line. Jared Triola walked. Miguel Andujar doubled to left to drive in Joe and send Triola to third. What is ironic, that may have been the last at bats for Joe and Andujar in a Pirates uniform. Jack Suwinski doubled, again down the left field line and the Pirates had a 3-0 lead, that they protected easily in the top of the 9th inning.

Next Game: March 28, Marlins in Miami. Yes the Pirates open against the team they finished with, the Marlins. I will be doing an in depth look at this season and looking into the future to see what the Pirates might do in the 2024 season. They wound up improving 14 games from last year with a final record of 76-86. When the season started the Pirates had only two position players from their 2022 opening day team, Bryan Reynolds and Ke’Bryan Hayes. Next season you can add the name Jack Suwinski and that may be it. More on that later in the week.